After these two selling positions were unwound, the stock market crashed with the Corona shock came.
Kanae-san
This was another great guess! Orli somewhat God!
Orli
Thank you ^^
Orli
The volume of positions on the 10-year Treasury note was especially bought as the volume of positions on the Nasdaq sold off to a record high.
Orli
From here, we can consider the possibility that the portion of the Nasdaq short has been turned over to the 10-year Treasury long.
Kanae-san
I see~.
Orli
Once again, the possibility of another stock market decline has emerged from a move similar to the one before the Corona shock, this time with a fear index and two 10-year bonds.
Orli
However, given the risk-on move in the FX position, we believe that if the stock price falls again, it will only end in a correction.
Kanae-san
In other words, if it falls, it's going to go up again like the Nasdaq is doing now?
Orli
Right So stocks may also continue to rise right over the long term.
Orli
Just think that even with the risk on, a temporary drop in stock prices could come again, I think buying the stock as much as possible at this stage is a big risk.
Kanae-san
Well, do you think a temporary drop in the stock price would have an impact on the forex?
Orli
If a temporary drop in stock prices comes again, there will be no impact on FX Or, if there is, the possibility is conceivable that it is small.
Orli
Of course, even if the move in the fear index and the 10-year bond was a sign of a falling stock price, it could be a pattern of risk-on, stock price declines not coming, and a pattern of steady growth all the way up The following is a brief description of the process.
Kanae-san
I see!
Orli
There's still a month until the presidential election, so I think we'll see some speculators in the meantime.
Kanae-san
If you see a big move, please consider it!
Orli
Okay! Please look forward to it ^^
Kanae-san
I also want to look at a 10-year speculator's chart to verify it, where can I see it?
And this time the content is also explained in this video.
Kanae-san
I'll watch the video again to review it! I learned a lot today ♫
This time, we discuss the Chart of Speculators and the possibility that stock prices will fall again after the US Presidential Election I did, but what did you think?
I hope this helps newbies understand the application of speculative muscle charts.